Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity August 20-22, driven by his established daily posting rhythm of roughly 15-20 updates amid routine business commentary and platform engagement. Recent weeks show consistent volume without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, keeping the moderate band ahead of lower totals. The three-day window sits near typical mid-week patterns, though any sudden news cycle involving xAI developments or regulatory headlines could push activity higher in the closing days. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of steady rather than exceptional output ahead of the period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 46%
<40 33.0%
65-89 20%
90-114 3.6%
<40
33%
40-64
46%
65-89
20%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 46%
<40 33.0%
65-89 20%
90-114 3.6%
<40
33%
40-64
46%
65-89
20%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity August 20-22, driven by his established daily posting rhythm of roughly 15-20 updates amid routine business commentary and platform engagement. Recent weeks show consistent volume without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, keeping the moderate band ahead of lower totals. The three-day window sits near typical mid-week patterns, though any sudden news cycle involving xAI developments or regulatory headlines could push activity higher in the closing days. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of steady rather than exceptional output ahead of the period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions