Traders view the closely matched 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as frontrunners for Elon Musk’s activity from August 20-22, reflecting uncertainty around his typical posting cadence on X. Market-implied odds price in moderate-to-high volume driven by ongoing business updates from Tesla and xAI, plus potential political or cultural commentary, yet without confirmed major catalysts that weekend. Historical patterns show Musk’s output spiking with news events or product milestones while dipping during quieter periods, creating the competitive split between these brackets. Key swing factors include any last-minute announcements or platform engagement that could push totals higher, underscoring how trader consensus balances his established habits against the unpredictability of real-time developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 45%
65-89 40%
140-164 31%
90-114 30%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
<40
32%
40-64
45%
65-89
40%
90-114
30%
115-139
28%
140-164
31%
165-189
3%
190-214
3%
215-239
3%
240+
3%
40-64 45%
65-89 40%
140-164 31%
90-114 30%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
<40
$90 Vol.
32%
40-64
$0 Vol.
45%
65-89
$0 Vol.
40%
90-114
$0 Vol.
30%
115-139
$0 Vol.
28%
140-164
$0 Vol.
31%
165-189
$0 Vol.
3%
190-214
$0 Vol.
3%
215-239
$0 Vol.
3%
240+
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the closely matched 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as frontrunners for Elon Musk’s activity from August 20-22, reflecting uncertainty around his typical posting cadence on X. Market-implied odds price in moderate-to-high volume driven by ongoing business updates from Tesla and xAI, plus potential political or cultural commentary, yet without confirmed major catalysts that weekend. Historical patterns show Musk’s output spiking with news events or product milestones while dipping during quieter periods, creating the competitive split between these brackets. Key swing factors include any last-minute announcements or platform engagement that could push totals higher, underscoring how trader consensus balances his established habits against the unpredictability of real-time developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$90Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the closely matched 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as frontrunners for Elon Musk’s activity from August 20-22, reflecting uncertainty around his typical posting cadence on X. Market-implied odds price in moderate-to-high volume driven by ongoing business updates from Tesla and xAI, plus potential political or cultural commentary, yet without confirmed major catalysts that weekend. Historical patterns show Musk’s output spiking with news events or product milestones while dipping during quieter periods, creating the competitive split between these brackets. Key swing factors include any last-minute announcements or platform engagement that could push totals higher, underscoring how trader consensus balances his established habits against the unpredictability of real-time developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$90Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the closely matched 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as frontrunners for Elon Musk’s activity from August 20-22, reflecting uncertainty around his typical posting cadence on X. Market-implied odds price in moderate-to-high volume driven by ongoing business updates from Tesla and xAI, plus potential political or cultural commentary, yet without confirmed major catalysts that weekend. Historical patterns show Musk’s output spiking with news events or product milestones while dipping during quieter periods, creating the competitive split between these brackets. Key swing factors include any last-minute announcements or platform engagement that could push totals higher, underscoring how trader consensus balances his established habits against the unpredictability of real-time developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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