BN holds a strong implied probability lead in the 2026 Negeri Sembilan state election due to its decisive victory in the July Johor polls and an electoral pact with PN that allows BN to contest 25 seats while PN fields candidates in the remaining 11, minimizing vote splits among Malay voters. The snap election, called after assembly dissolution in June amid a dispute over the incumbent PH government's legitimacy under Menteri Besar Aminuddin Harun, pits PH contesting all 36 seats against this consolidated opposition front. Traders appear to weigh BN's recent momentum and seat math heavily, though PH's incumbency and full-slate strategy introduce residual uncertainty ahead of polling on 1 August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBN 73%
PH 28%
PN <1%
Bersatu <1%
$129,862 Vol.
$129,862 Vol.
1 ago 2026
BN
73%
PH
28%
PN
<1%
Bersatu
<1%
BN 73%
PH 28%
PN <1%
Bersatu <1%
$129,862 Vol.
$129,862 Vol.
1 ago 2026
BN
$65,702 Vol.
73%
PH
$60,566 Vol.
28%
PN
$2,761 Vol.
<1%
Bersatu
$833 Vol.
<1%
General elections to elect the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).BN holds a strong implied probability lead in the 2026 Negeri Sembilan state election due to its decisive victory in the July Johor polls and an electoral pact with PN that allows BN to contest 25 seats while PN fields candidates in the remaining 11, minimizing vote splits among Malay voters. The snap election, called after assembly dissolution in June amid a dispute over the incumbent PH government's legitimacy under Menteri Besar Aminuddin Harun, pits PH contesting all 36 seats against this consolidated opposition front. Traders appear to weigh BN's recent momentum and seat math heavily, though PH's incumbency and full-slate strategy introduce residual uncertainty ahead of polling on 1 August.
General elections to elect the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 21, 2026, 7:14 PM ET
Volume
$129,862Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).BN holds a strong implied probability lead in the 2026 Negeri Sembilan state election due to its decisive victory in the July Johor polls and an electoral pact with PN that allows BN to contest 25 seats while PN fields candidates in the remaining 11, minimizing vote splits among Malay voters. The snap election, called after assembly dissolution in June amid a dispute over the incumbent PH government's legitimacy under Menteri Besar Aminuddin Harun, pits PH contesting all 36 seats against this consolidated opposition front. Traders appear to weigh BN's recent momentum and seat math heavily, though PH's incumbency and full-slate strategy introduce residual uncertainty ahead of polling on 1 August.
General elections to elect the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
Volume
$129,862Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...BN holds a strong implied probability lead in the 2026 Negeri Sembilan state election due to its decisive victory in the July Johor polls and an electoral pact with PN that allows BN to contest 25 seats while PN fields candidates in the remaining 11, minimizing vote splits among Malay voters. The snap election, called after assembly dissolution in June amid a dispute over the incumbent PH government's legitimacy under Menteri Besar Aminuddin Harun, pits PH contesting all 36 seats against this consolidated opposition front. Traders appear to weigh BN's recent momentum and seat math heavily, though PH's incumbency and full-slate strategy introduce residual uncertainty ahead of polling on 1 August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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