Trump’s pattern of issuing pointed public criticisms through Truth Social posts, interviews, and speeches continues to shape expectations for this market. As president in September 2026, he has recently targeted journalists including Kristen Welker and Maggie Haberman over coverage of Iran-related developments, primary endorsements, and administration events, while maintaining pressure on the Iranian regime itself. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, combined with scheduled appearances at the Republican National Convention in Dallas and the UN General Assembly later in the month, create regular opportunities for such statements. Historical frequency of personal attacks on political figures and media outlets informs trader assessments of likely targets before the September 30 cutoff, though outcomes remain sensitive to breaking events or shifts in his public schedule.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$35,687 Wol.

Barack Obama
95%

Kathy Hochul
94%

Letitia James
87%

Hillary Clinton
81%

Tucker Carlson
68%

Mark Carney
62%

Kaitlan Collins
54%

Jimmy Kimmel
50%

Elizabeth Warren
48%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
39%

Norah O'Donnell
39%

Zohran Mamdani
33%

Friedrich Merz
31%

Stephen Colbert
28%

Andy Burnham
28%

Jerome Powell
24%

Pam Bondi
21%

Vladimir Putin
18%

Candace Owens
16%

Elon Musk
15%

Alex Jones
14%

Benjamin Netanyahu
13%

Megyn Kelly
15%

Emmanuel Macron
7%

Mohammed bin Salman
7%

Kevin Warsh
7%

Melania Trump
11%

Pope Leo XIV
6%

Xi Jinping
5%

J.D. Vance
4%

Karoline Leavitt
3%

J.B. Pritzker
50%

Jon Ossoff
48%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
48%

Adam Schiff
50%

Abdul El-Sayed
57%

Ilhan Omar
55%
$35,687 Wol.

Barack Obama
95%

Kathy Hochul
94%

Letitia James
87%

Hillary Clinton
81%

Tucker Carlson
68%

Mark Carney
62%

Kaitlan Collins
54%

Jimmy Kimmel
50%

Elizabeth Warren
48%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
39%

Norah O'Donnell
39%

Zohran Mamdani
33%

Friedrich Merz
31%

Stephen Colbert
28%

Andy Burnham
28%

Jerome Powell
24%

Pam Bondi
21%

Vladimir Putin
18%

Candace Owens
16%

Elon Musk
15%

Alex Jones
14%

Benjamin Netanyahu
13%

Megyn Kelly
15%

Emmanuel Macron
7%

Mohammed bin Salman
7%

Kevin Warsh
7%

Melania Trump
11%

Pope Leo XIV
6%

Xi Jinping
5%

J.D. Vance
4%

Karoline Leavitt
3%

J.B. Pritzker
50%

Jon Ossoff
48%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
48%

Adam Schiff
50%

Abdul El-Sayed
57%

Ilhan Omar
55%
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trump’s pattern of issuing pointed public criticisms through Truth Social posts, interviews, and speeches continues to shape expectations for this market. As president in September 2026, he has recently targeted journalists including Kristen Welker and Maggie Haberman over coverage of Iran-related developments, primary endorsements, and administration events, while maintaining pressure on the Iranian regime itself. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, combined with scheduled appearances at the Republican National Convention in Dallas and the UN General Assembly later in the month, create regular opportunities for such statements. Historical frequency of personal attacks on political figures and media outlets informs trader assessments of likely targets before the September 30 cutoff, though outcomes remain sensitive to breaking events or shifts in his public schedule.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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