Recent releases like Moonshot AI’s July 2026 Kimi K3 model—strong on long-horizon coding, reasoning, and multi-agent tasks while ranking near Anthropic’s Claude Fable and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 on arena.ai benchmarks—have tightened the race for third place among AI agent labs. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and MiniMax benefit from rapid iteration and open-weight accessibility, narrowing gaps with established players like Google, Anthropic, and Mistral through competitive pricing and demonstrated agentic capabilities. US labs retain edges in enterprise integration and safety benchmarks, yet the crowded field, recent distillation controversies, and fast-moving leaderboard updates create balanced trader sentiment with no single clear leader heading into late August resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThird-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Moonshot 34%
Alibaba 28%
Z.ai 28%
Xiaomi 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
Moonshot
34%
Alibaba
28%
Z.ai
28%
Xiaomi
25%
Meituan
25%
SpaceXAI
23%
Meta
21%
Anthropic
19%
DeepSeek
18%
Mistral
17%
17%
ByteDance
17%
Baidu
17%
Amazon
17%
MiniMax
16%
Microsoft
16%
Nvidia
16%
OpenAI
-
Moonshot 34%
Alibaba 28%
Z.ai 28%
Xiaomi 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
Moonshot
$10 Wol.
34%
Alibaba
$10 Wol.
28%
Z.ai
$10 Wol.
28%
Xiaomi
$10 Wol.
25%
Meituan
$34 Wol.
25%
SpaceXAI
$10 Wol.
23%
Meta
$10 Wol.
21%
Anthropic
$66 Wol.
19%
DeepSeek
$10 Wol.
18%
Mistral
$43 Wol.
17%
$10 Wol.
17%
ByteDance
$41 Wol.
17%
Baidu
$69 Wol.
17%
Amazon
$74 Wol.
17%
MiniMax
$58 Wol.
16%
Microsoft
$54 Wol.
16%
Nvidia
$72 Wol.
16%
OpenAI
$30 Wol.
-
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases like Moonshot AI’s July 2026 Kimi K3 model—strong on long-horizon coding, reasoning, and multi-agent tasks while ranking near Anthropic’s Claude Fable and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 on arena.ai benchmarks—have tightened the race for third place among AI agent labs. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and MiniMax benefit from rapid iteration and open-weight accessibility, narrowing gaps with established players like Google, Anthropic, and Mistral through competitive pricing and demonstrated agentic capabilities. US labs retain edges in enterprise integration and safety benchmarks, yet the crowded field, recent distillation controversies, and fast-moving leaderboard updates create balanced trader sentiment with no single clear leader heading into late August resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$622Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases like Moonshot AI’s July 2026 Kimi K3 model—strong on long-horizon coding, reasoning, and multi-agent tasks while ranking near Anthropic’s Claude Fable and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 on arena.ai benchmarks—have tightened the race for third place among AI agent labs. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and MiniMax benefit from rapid iteration and open-weight accessibility, narrowing gaps with established players like Google, Anthropic, and Mistral through competitive pricing and demonstrated agentic capabilities. US labs retain edges in enterprise integration and safety benchmarks, yet the crowded field, recent distillation controversies, and fast-moving leaderboard updates create balanced trader sentiment with no single clear leader heading into late August resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$622Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases like Moonshot AI’s July 2026 Kimi K3 model—strong on long-horizon coding, reasoning, and multi-agent tasks while ranking near Anthropic’s Claude Fable and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 on arena.ai benchmarks—have tightened the race for third place among AI agent labs. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and MiniMax benefit from rapid iteration and open-weight accessibility, narrowing gaps with established players like Google, Anthropic, and Mistral through competitive pricing and demonstrated agentic capabilities. US labs retain edges in enterprise integration and safety benchmarks, yet the crowded field, recent distillation controversies, and fast-moving leaderboard updates create balanced trader sentiment with no single clear leader heading into late August resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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