The solidly Democratic character of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by 14.5 points in 2024 and delivered Democratic House margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat, triggering a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary won by Adam Hamawy; Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s composition across Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. With the Democratic nominee positioned for a substantial projected margin, only late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong Republican national environment would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$22,311 Wol.
$22,311 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,311 Wol.
$22,311 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,221 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,089 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by 14.5 points in 2024 and delivered Democratic House margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat, triggering a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary won by Adam Hamawy; Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s composition across Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. With the Democratic nominee positioned for a substantial projected margin, only late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong Republican national environment would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,311Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by 14.5 points in 2024 and delivered Democratic House margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat, triggering a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary won by Adam Hamawy; Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s composition across Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. With the Democratic nominee positioned for a substantial projected margin, only late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong Republican national environment would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$22,311Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by 14.5 points in 2024 and delivered Democratic House margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat, triggering a crowded June 2026 Democratic primary won by Adam Hamawy; Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s composition across Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. With the Democratic nominee positioned for a substantial projected margin, only late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong Republican national environment would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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