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Polityka·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Polityka·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.0%

Polymarket

$121,787 Wol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.0%

Polymarket

$121,787 Wol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,751 Wol.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,496 Wol.

10%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,407 Wol.

4%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$7,171 Wol.

4%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Wol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Wol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,972 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,162 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Wol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Wol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Wol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Wol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$121,787
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$121,787
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" z 80%, za nim "Pedro Sánchez" z 10%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 80¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 80% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" wygenerował $121.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 26, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Prime Minister of Spain?", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" jest "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" z 80%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 80% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Pedro Sánchez" z 10%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.