North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$28,735 Wol.
$28,735 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$28,735 Wol.
$28,735 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,749 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$13,986 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,735Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$28,735Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by strong performance in Durham and Orange counties and reinforced by the 2024 results that delivered the incumbent over 70 percent of the vote. Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Max Ganorkar after the GOP primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of major redistricting shifts or national tailwinds that could alter the balance. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include a sustained national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban Wake County precincts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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