Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 17°C followed by a minimum of 9°C overnight under clear skies and strong northwesterlies, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and driving the 98.2% market-implied probability for a 9°C low. This positioning reflects seasonal mid-winter conditions in the region, where typical overnight radiative cooling under light winds and clear air produces minima in the 8–10°C range at the official observing site. Recent surface observations through the evening have remained above 12°C, consistent with the expected trajectory toward the forecast low. Uncertainties in timing of wind shifts or localized cloud cover could allow slightly deeper cooling or modest warming, though current model consensus indicates limited scope for deviation beyond a narrow band around 9°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
9°C 98.2%
$25,227 Wol.
$25,227 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
9°C
98%
9°C 98.2%
$25,227 Wol.
$25,227 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
9°C
$17,978 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 17°C followed by a minimum of 9°C overnight under clear skies and strong northwesterlies, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and driving the 98.2% market-implied probability for a 9°C low. This positioning reflects seasonal mid-winter conditions in the region, where typical overnight radiative cooling under light winds and clear air produces minima in the 8–10°C range at the official observing site. Recent surface observations through the evening have remained above 12°C, consistent with the expected trajectory toward the forecast low. Uncertainties in timing of wind shifts or localized cloud cover could allow slightly deeper cooling or modest warming, though current model consensus indicates limited scope for deviation beyond a narrow band around 9°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,227Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 17°C followed by a minimum of 9°C overnight under clear skies and strong northwesterlies, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and driving the 98.2% market-implied probability for a 9°C low. This positioning reflects seasonal mid-winter conditions in the region, where typical overnight radiative cooling under light winds and clear air produces minima in the 8–10°C range at the official observing site. Recent surface observations through the evening have remained above 12°C, consistent with the expected trajectory toward the forecast low. Uncertainties in timing of wind shifts or localized cloud cover could allow slightly deeper cooling or modest warming, though current model consensus indicates limited scope for deviation beyond a narrow band around 9°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,227Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 17°C followed by a minimum of 9°C overnight under clear skies and strong northwesterlies, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and driving the 98.2% market-implied probability for a 9°C low. This positioning reflects seasonal mid-winter conditions in the region, where typical overnight radiative cooling under light winds and clear air produces minima in the 8–10°C range at the official observing site. Recent surface observations through the evening have remained above 12°C, consistent with the expected trajectory toward the forecast low. Uncertainties in timing of wind shifts or localized cloud cover could allow slightly deeper cooling or modest warming, though current model consensus indicates limited scope for deviation beyond a narrow band around 9°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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