Recent high-pressure ridging and clear skies over northern France have promoted strong radiational cooling overnight, with light easterly winds and low dew points supporting minimum temperatures near the long-term average of 12.6°C. Latest GFS and limited ECMWF guidance indicate the Paris low on September 6 will likely fall between 13–15°C, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high cloud keeps the 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Météo-France and ensemble consensus show no significant warm advection until after dawn, limiting upside risk while dry conditions reduce the chance of a warmer urban heat-island effect. Updated short-range runs and official minimum observations expected by early September 6 will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 6?
12°C 42%
13°C 32%
11°C 18%
15°C 18%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
18%
12°C
31%
13°C
32%
14°C
8%
15°C
18%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 32%
11°C 18%
15°C 18%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
18%
12°C
31%
13°C
32%
14°C
8%
15°C
18%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging and clear skies over northern France have promoted strong radiational cooling overnight, with light easterly winds and low dew points supporting minimum temperatures near the long-term average of 12.6°C. Latest GFS and limited ECMWF guidance indicate the Paris low on September 6 will likely fall between 13–15°C, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high cloud keeps the 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Météo-France and ensemble consensus show no significant warm advection until after dawn, limiting upside risk while dry conditions reduce the chance of a warmer urban heat-island effect. Updated short-range runs and official minimum observations expected by early September 6 will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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