**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 7 minimum temperature centers on 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting current forecast consensus for typical subtropical summer conditions.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with seasonal averages near 26–28°C. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by urban heat retention and possible cloud cover—support these values over cooler readings. Normal-to-above-normal temperatures expected for August–October 2026, driven by background warming trends, further anchor probabilities here. Recent model runs show no significant cold surges or typhoon influences that would depress minima below 26°C or push them to 29°C+, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the observed leading outcomes. Updated local forecasts and any last-minute changes in cloud or rainfall patterns remain key near-term variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 45%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 10%
NOWE
$17,123 Wol.
NOWE
$17,123 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
33%
29°C
10%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 10%
NOWE
$17,123 Wol.
NOWE
$17,123 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$501 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$561 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$521 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,333 Wol.
1%
25°C
$1,436 Wol.
4%
26°C
$3,389 Wol.
12%
27°C
$2,492 Wol.
45%
28°C
$3,056 Wol.
33%
29°C
$1,801 Wol.
10%
30°C
$1,294 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$737 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 7 minimum temperature centers on 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting current forecast consensus for typical subtropical summer conditions.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with seasonal averages near 26–28°C. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by urban heat retention and possible cloud cover—support these values over cooler readings. Normal-to-above-normal temperatures expected for August–October 2026, driven by background warming trends, further anchor probabilities here. Recent model runs show no significant cold surges or typhoon influences that would depress minima below 26°C or push them to 29°C+, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the observed leading outcomes. Updated local forecasts and any last-minute changes in cloud or rainfall patterns remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,123Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 7 minimum temperature centers on 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting current forecast consensus for typical subtropical summer conditions.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with seasonal averages near 26–28°C. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by urban heat retention and possible cloud cover—support these values over cooler readings. Normal-to-above-normal temperatures expected for August–October 2026, driven by background warming trends, further anchor probabilities here. Recent model runs show no significant cold surges or typhoon influences that would depress minima below 26°C or push them to 29°C+, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the observed leading outcomes. Updated local forecasts and any last-minute changes in cloud or rainfall patterns remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,123Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 7 minimum temperature centers on 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting current forecast consensus for typical subtropical summer conditions.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with seasonal averages near 26–28°C. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by urban heat retention and possible cloud cover—support these values over cooler readings. Normal-to-above-normal temperatures expected for August–October 2026, driven by background warming trends, further anchor probabilities here. Recent model runs show no significant cold surges or typhoon influences that would depress minima below 26°C or push them to 29°C+, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the observed leading outcomes. Updated local forecasts and any last-minute changes in cloud or rainfall patterns remain key near-term variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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