Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds over Cape Town on August 31, supporting radiative cooling overnight with minimum temperatures near 11°C at standard stations. This setup follows a stable high-pressure regime that has kept recent nights mild compared to typical August baselines around 8–10°C, though local urban heat islands or slight model spreads in dew points could push the official low lower. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 8–10°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact cooling rates under calm conditions and the influence of the specific reporting station, with limited upside potential above 11°C given the dry, stable air mass. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
7°C 26%
5°C or below
9%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
31%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
19%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
<1%
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
7°C 26%
5°C or below
9%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
31%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
19%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds over Cape Town on August 31, supporting radiative cooling overnight with minimum temperatures near 11°C at standard stations. This setup follows a stable high-pressure regime that has kept recent nights mild compared to typical August baselines around 8–10°C, though local urban heat islands or slight model spreads in dew points could push the official low lower. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 8–10°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact cooling rates under calm conditions and the influence of the specific reporting station, with limited upside potential above 11°C given the dry, stable air mass. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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