**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure are keeping Beijing's overnight temperatures mild, positioning the lowest reading near 18°C.** Global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show a high near 32–34°C today followed by a low of 20–22°C under mostly clear conditions with dew points around 15–18°C, limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably above the long-term September 5 average low of 18.4°C while still within the range where station-specific readings or urban effects could register 18°C. No significant cold air advection has arrived yet—the next front and rain arrive Monday—leaving current model consensus and real-time observations as the main drivers of the 85.5% market-implied probability for 18°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
$67 Wol.
1%
15°C
$22 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$32 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$116 Wol.
2%
18°C
$623 Wol.
99%
19°C
$347 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$317 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$45 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure are keeping Beijing's overnight temperatures mild, positioning the lowest reading near 18°C.**
Global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show a high near 32–34°C today followed by a low of 20–22°C under mostly clear conditions with dew points around 15–18°C, limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably above the long-term September 5 average low of 18.4°C while still within the range where station-specific readings or urban effects could register 18°C. No significant cold air advection has arrived yet—the next front and rain arrive Monday—leaving current model consensus and real-time observations as the main drivers of the 85.5% market-implied probability for 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,704Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure are keeping Beijing's overnight temperatures mild, positioning the lowest reading near 18°C.**
Global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show a high near 32–34°C today followed by a low of 20–22°C under mostly clear conditions with dew points around 15–18°C, limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably above the long-term September 5 average low of 18.4°C while still within the range where station-specific readings or urban effects could register 18°C. No significant cold air advection has arrived yet—the next front and rain arrive Monday—leaving current model consensus and real-time observations as the main drivers of the 85.5% market-implied probability for 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,704Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure are keeping Beijing's overnight temperatures mild, positioning the lowest reading near 18°C.** Global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show a high near 32–34°C today followed by a low of 20–22°C under mostly clear conditions with dew points around 15–18°C, limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome comfortably above the long-term September 5 average low of 18.4°C while still within the range where station-specific readings or urban effects could register 18°C. No significant cold air advection has arrived yet—the next front and rain arrive Monday—leaving current model consensus and real-time observations as the main drivers of the 85.5% market-implied probability for 18°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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