Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a peak temperature in Beijing of 32–34°C on September 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 40–50%, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C (48%) and 33°C (45%). Clear conditions maximize solar insolation while minimal cloud cover and dry air allow efficient surface heating; minor model differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification explain the tight spread. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles show limited convective risk today, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of final hourly observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
33°C 49%
34°C 44%
32°C 10%
35°C 2%
NOWE
$19,378 Wol.
NOWE
$19,378 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
49%
34°C
44%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 44%
32°C 10%
35°C 2%
NOWE
$19,378 Wol.
NOWE
$19,378 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$535 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,380 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,513 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,218 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$4,744 Wol.
10%
33°C
$1,982 Wol.
49%
34°C
$2,943 Wol.
44%
35°C
$2,434 Wol.
2%
36°C
$637 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$336 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$656 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a peak temperature in Beijing of 32–34°C on September 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 40–50%, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C (48%) and 33°C (45%). Clear conditions maximize solar insolation while minimal cloud cover and dry air allow efficient surface heating; minor model differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification explain the tight spread. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles show limited convective risk today, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of final hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,378Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a peak temperature in Beijing of 32–34°C on September 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 40–50%, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C (48%) and 33°C (45%). Clear conditions maximize solar insolation while minimal cloud cover and dry air allow efficient surface heating; minor model differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification explain the tight spread. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles show limited convective risk today, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of final hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,378Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a peak temperature in Beijing of 32–34°C on September 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 40–50%, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C (48%) and 33°C (45%). Clear conditions maximize solar insolation while minimal cloud cover and dry air allow efficient surface heating; minor model differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification explain the tight spread. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles show limited convective risk today, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of final hourly observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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