Recent forecast models from European agencies indicate a frontal system will bring cooler southwest winds and increased cloud cover to Amsterdam on September 8, shifting overnight lows into the 12–15°C range after warmer conditions the prior day. Persistent marine air influence and light precipitation expected overnight limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the 11.5°C climatological average while preventing sharper drops. Ensemble consensus shows limited model spread around these values, with traders pricing highest implied probabilities near 14–16°C as the most likely outcomes under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperature influences. Updated runs from national meteorological services will refine wind and humidity details ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
15°C 52%
14°C 50%
13°C 48%
16°C 34%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
23%
13°C
48%
14°C
50%
15°C
37%
16°C
34%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
11%
15°C 52%
14°C 50%
13°C 48%
16°C 34%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
23%
13°C
48%
14°C
50%
15°C
37%
16°C
34%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European agencies indicate a frontal system will bring cooler southwest winds and increased cloud cover to Amsterdam on September 8, shifting overnight lows into the 12–15°C range after warmer conditions the prior day. Persistent marine air influence and light precipitation expected overnight limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the 11.5°C climatological average while preventing sharper drops. Ensemble consensus shows limited model spread around these values, with traders pricing highest implied probabilities near 14–16°C as the most likely outcomes under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperature influences. Updated runs from national meteorological services will refine wind and humidity details ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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