Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a rainy, overcast day in Amsterdam on September 8 driven by a southwest flow ahead of a low-pressure system, with widespread cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near or below the 20°C seasonal average. Multiple runs show maximum temperatures clustered around 16–19°C amid light to moderate rain and high humidity, reducing the likelihood of reaching or exceeding 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement against historical variability, where September 8 highs have ranged from the mid-teens to the upper 20s, resulting in strong implied probabilities for 19–20°C outcomes while assigning minimal weight to warmer or much cooler extremes. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
20°C 56%
19°C 36%
21°C 7%
18°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
36%
20°C
56%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 56%
19°C 36%
21°C 7%
18°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
$403 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$235 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$235 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,294 Wol.
4%
19°C
$1,670 Wol.
36%
20°C
$1,971 Wol.
56%
21°C
$972 Wol.
7%
22°C
$360 Wol.
2%
23°C
$318 Wol.
1%
24°C
$689 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$254 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a rainy, overcast day in Amsterdam on September 8 driven by a southwest flow ahead of a low-pressure system, with widespread cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near or below the 20°C seasonal average. Multiple runs show maximum temperatures clustered around 16–19°C amid light to moderate rain and high humidity, reducing the likelihood of reaching or exceeding 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement against historical variability, where September 8 highs have ranged from the mid-teens to the upper 20s, resulting in strong implied probabilities for 19–20°C outcomes while assigning minimal weight to warmer or much cooler extremes. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,401Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a rainy, overcast day in Amsterdam on September 8 driven by a southwest flow ahead of a low-pressure system, with widespread cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near or below the 20°C seasonal average. Multiple runs show maximum temperatures clustered around 16–19°C amid light to moderate rain and high humidity, reducing the likelihood of reaching or exceeding 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement against historical variability, where September 8 highs have ranged from the mid-teens to the upper 20s, resulting in strong implied probabilities for 19–20°C outcomes while assigning minimal weight to warmer or much cooler extremes. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,401Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a rainy, overcast day in Amsterdam on September 8 driven by a southwest flow ahead of a low-pressure system, with widespread cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near or below the 20°C seasonal average. Multiple runs show maximum temperatures clustered around 16–19°C amid light to moderate rain and high humidity, reducing the likelihood of reaching or exceeding 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this model agreement against historical variability, where September 8 highs have ranged from the mid-teens to the upper 20s, resulting in strong implied probabilities for 19–20°C outcomes while assigning minimal weight to warmer or much cooler extremes. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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