The open-seat contest for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district features Republican Ralph Alvarado, who won his May 19 primary, against Democrat Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024, anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Multiple spring and early-summer surveys, including a late-June DCCC poll showing a statistical tie, have highlighted the race’s relative competitiveness compared with the prior incumbent’s large margins, sustaining a measurable Democratic probability. Forecasters continue to rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the structural partisan edge that has kept the Republican implied probability near three-quarters despite the open-seat dynamic and polling movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$33,631 Wol.
$33,631 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
$33,631 Wol.
$33,631 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,395 Wol.
74%
Democratic Party
$19,236 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district features Republican Ralph Alvarado, who won his May 19 primary, against Democrat Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024, anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Multiple spring and early-summer surveys, including a late-June DCCC poll showing a statistical tie, have highlighted the race’s relative competitiveness compared with the prior incumbent’s large margins, sustaining a measurable Democratic probability. Forecasters continue to rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the structural partisan edge that has kept the Republican implied probability near three-quarters despite the open-seat dynamic and polling movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,631Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district features Republican Ralph Alvarado, who won his May 19 primary, against Democrat Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024, anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Multiple spring and early-summer surveys, including a late-June DCCC poll showing a statistical tie, have highlighted the race’s relative competitiveness compared with the prior incumbent’s large margins, sustaining a measurable Democratic probability. Forecasters continue to rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the structural partisan edge that has kept the Republican implied probability near three-quarters despite the open-seat dynamic and polling movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,631Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat contest for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district features Republican Ralph Alvarado, who won his May 19 primary, against Democrat Zach Dembo, the Democratic nominee. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024, anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Multiple spring and early-summer surveys, including a late-June DCCC poll showing a statistical tie, have highlighted the race’s relative competitiveness compared with the prior incumbent’s large margins, sustaining a measurable Democratic probability. Forecasters continue to rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the structural partisan edge that has kept the Republican implied probability near three-quarters despite the open-seat dynamic and polling movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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