The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited EB-1 or EB-2 residency pathways in exchange for a $1 million contribution to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 processing fee, subject to DHS vetting and security reviews. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because the initiative remains in early implementation as of August 2026, with ongoing OMB form reviews, USCIS petition procedures still pending full rollout, and reported lawsuits creating procedural uncertainty. No verified issuances have occurred publicly, and annual visa category limits plus individual background checks constrain volume even after any mid-2026 launch. These structural and timing factors position low-volume results as the dominant expectation reflected in current pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 82.9%
101-1k 5.6%
>100k 4.0%
1k-2.5k 3.4%
$290,545 Wol.
$290,545 Wol.
1-100
83%
101-1k
6%
1k-2.5k
3%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
<1%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
4%
1-100 82.9%
101-1k 5.6%
>100k 4.0%
1k-2.5k 3.4%
$290,545 Wol.
$290,545 Wol.
1-100
83%
101-1k
6%
1k-2.5k
3%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
<1%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited EB-1 or EB-2 residency pathways in exchange for a $1 million contribution to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 processing fee, subject to DHS vetting and security reviews. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because the initiative remains in early implementation as of August 2026, with ongoing OMB form reviews, USCIS petition procedures still pending full rollout, and reported lawsuits creating procedural uncertainty. No verified issuances have occurred publicly, and annual visa category limits plus individual background checks constrain volume even after any mid-2026 launch. These structural and timing factors position low-volume results as the dominant expectation reflected in current pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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