Current short-term forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and regional models position the highest temperature in Wuhan on August 7 near 36–37°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer high pressure and strong solar insolation during early August typically drive daytime maxima in this range, with low precipitation chances supporting clearer skies and efficient surface heating. Recent observations show stable conditions without significant cooling fronts or heavy cloud cover that could suppress peaks, though minor model variations introduce uncertainty around 38°C if advection strengthens. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections against historical August baselines of 33–35°C, concentrating volume on the narrow 36–38°C band ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 7?
37°C 44%
36°C 29%
38°C 25%
35°C 6%
$14,310 Wol.
$14,310 Wol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
6%
36°C
29%
37°C
44%
38°C
25%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 44%
36°C 29%
38°C 25%
35°C 6%
$14,310 Wol.
$14,310 Wol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
6%
36°C
29%
37°C
44%
38°C
25%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and regional models position the highest temperature in Wuhan on August 7 near 36–37°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer high pressure and strong solar insolation during early August typically drive daytime maxima in this range, with low precipitation chances supporting clearer skies and efficient surface heating. Recent observations show stable conditions without significant cooling fronts or heavy cloud cover that could suppress peaks, though minor model variations introduce uncertainty around 38°C if advection strengthens. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections against historical August baselines of 33–35°C, concentrating volume on the narrow 36–38°C band ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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