Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
31°C 56%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
NOWE
$13,817 Wol.
NOWE
$13,817 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
56%
32°C
46%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
NOWE
$13,817 Wol.
NOWE
$13,817 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$245 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,248 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,807 Wol.
56%
32°C
$3,768 Wol.
46%
33°C
$992 Wol.
2%
34°C
$918 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$698 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$529 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,095 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$135 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,817Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,817Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening. This aligns closely with climatological norms near 29°C and current surface observations showing similar values on September 5. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 31°C and 45.5% for 32°C, captures the narrow uncertainty range in afternoon maximums from local heating and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities above 33°C remain negligible absent unexpected model shifts. Updated guidance and any late-day observational adjustments will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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