**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
31°C 56%
30°C 30%
32°C 7%
29°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
56%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 30%
32°C 7%
29°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$245 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$509 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$386 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$465 Wol.
3%
29°C
$725 Wol.
7%
30°C
$498 Wol.
30%
31°C
$1,563 Wol.
56%
32°C
$410 Wol.
7%
33°C
$307 Wol.
3%
34°C
$94 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$203 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,404Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,404Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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