Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a cooling trend following the mid-August heatwave, with Paris highs on August 20 expected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments driven by Atlantic flow variability, Atlantic moisture transport, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution centered near climatological norms of 24–25 °C while allowing for 2–3 °C spread depending on exact cloud timing and wind direction. Traders appear to price this model consensus and inherent short-range uncertainty, with equal weighting across 23–27 °C outcomes reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 20?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 20?
25°C 48%
24°C 37%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
14%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 37%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Wol.
1%
21°C
$5 Wol.
1%
22°C
$5 Wol.
4%
23°C
$0 Wol.
12%
24°C
$21 Wol.
47%
25°C
$8 Wol.
48%
26°C
$0 Wol.
14%
27°C
$0 Wol.
9%
28°C
$5 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a cooling trend following the mid-August heatwave, with Paris highs on August 20 expected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments driven by Atlantic flow variability, Atlantic moisture transport, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution centered near climatological norms of 24–25 °C while allowing for 2–3 °C spread depending on exact cloud timing and wind direction. Traders appear to price this model consensus and inherent short-range uncertainty, with equal weighting across 23–27 °C outcomes reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$59Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a cooling trend following the mid-August heatwave, with Paris highs on August 20 expected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments driven by Atlantic flow variability, Atlantic moisture transport, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution centered near climatological norms of 24–25 °C while allowing for 2–3 °C spread depending on exact cloud timing and wind direction. Traders appear to price this model consensus and inherent short-range uncertainty, with equal weighting across 23–27 °C outcomes reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$59Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a cooling trend following the mid-August heatwave, with Paris highs on August 20 expected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day adjustments driven by Atlantic flow variability, Atlantic moisture transport, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution centered near climatological norms of 24–25 °C while allowing for 2–3 °C spread depending on exact cloud timing and wind direction. Traders appear to price this model consensus and inherent short-range uncertainty, with equal weighting across 23–27 °C outcomes reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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