Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 6 high centers on uncertainty around afternoon convective activity and cloud cover during peak rainy season, producing closely matched probabilities for 25–27°C. At 2,240 m elevation, the city experiences moderated maxima even in summer, with historical August averages near 24–26°C. Persistent moisture and orographic lift promote scattered thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through reduced insolation or briefly enhance them via urban heat island effects before cooling. Model spreads in timing and intensity of these systems, alongside subtle variations in steering flow, drive the narrow distribution. Real-time surface observations and updated forecasts will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 6?
26°C 40%
25°C 33%
27°C 16%
24°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
33%
26°C
40%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 33%
27°C 16%
24°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
33%
26°C
40%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 6 high centers on uncertainty around afternoon convective activity and cloud cover during peak rainy season, producing closely matched probabilities for 25–27°C. At 2,240 m elevation, the city experiences moderated maxima even in summer, with historical August averages near 24–26°C. Persistent moisture and orographic lift promote scattered thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through reduced insolation or briefly enhance them via urban heat island effects before cooling. Model spreads in timing and intensity of these systems, alongside subtle variations in steering flow, drive the narrow distribution. Real-time surface observations and updated forecasts will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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