PAGASA's latest extended outlook projects a 29°C high and 25°C low for Metro Manila on August 7 under persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions that favor cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. These atmospheric patterns, typical of the peak rainy season, align with recent observations of moderated daytime maxima near 29–30°C and explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (50%) to 29°C, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Model consensus from multiple sources shows little deviation expected overnight, with no incoming systems or clear-sky episodes likely to push readings notably higher or lower before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 7?
29°C 50%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
50%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 50%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$174 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$166 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$162 Wol.
2%
28°C
$234 Wol.
22%
29°C
$534 Wol.
50%
30°C
$499 Wol.
24%
31°C
$645 Wol.
6%
32°C
$84 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$89 Wol.
1%
34°C or higher
$191 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook projects a 29°C high and 25°C low for Metro Manila on August 7 under persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions that favor cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. These atmospheric patterns, typical of the peak rainy season, align with recent observations of moderated daytime maxima near 29–30°C and explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (50%) to 29°C, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Model consensus from multiple sources shows little deviation expected overnight, with no incoming systems or clear-sky episodes likely to push readings notably higher or lower before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,010Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook projects a 29°C high and 25°C low for Metro Manila on August 7 under persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions that favor cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. These atmospheric patterns, typical of the peak rainy season, align with recent observations of moderated daytime maxima near 29–30°C and explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (50%) to 29°C, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Model consensus from multiple sources shows little deviation expected overnight, with no incoming systems or clear-sky episodes likely to push readings notably higher or lower before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,010Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest extended outlook projects a 29°C high and 25°C low for Metro Manila on August 7 under persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions that favor cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. These atmospheric patterns, typical of the peak rainy season, align with recent observations of moderated daytime maxima near 29–30°C and explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (50%) to 29°C, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Model consensus from multiple sources shows little deviation expected overnight, with no incoming systems or clear-sky episodes likely to push readings notably higher or lower before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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