Recent forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and moderate westerly to southwesterly winds as the main factors capping daytime heating in Karachi on September 6, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 31–32°C high. These conditions, tied to lingering monsoon moisture, reduce solar insolation and promote scattered drizzle potential, aligning with observed September baselines around 31–32°C. Model runs show minor spread on peak values, with some guidance reaching 33°C under brief clearing while others stay near 30°C amid thicker cloud decks, explaining the tight 38.5%–32.5% split between the leading outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles will clarify whether steering patterns allow further warming before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
32°C 39%
31°C 33%
33°C 19%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
33%
32°C
39%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 33%
33°C 19%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$182 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$167 Wol.
1%
29°C
$179 Wol.
3%
30°C
$454 Wol.
6%
31°C
$1,918 Wol.
33%
32°C
$890 Wol.
39%
33°C
$783 Wol.
19%
34°C
$134 Wol.
4%
35°C
$165 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$175 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and moderate westerly to southwesterly winds as the main factors capping daytime heating in Karachi on September 6, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 31–32°C high. These conditions, tied to lingering monsoon moisture, reduce solar insolation and promote scattered drizzle potential, aligning with observed September baselines around 31–32°C. Model runs show minor spread on peak values, with some guidance reaching 33°C under brief clearing while others stay near 30°C amid thicker cloud decks, explaining the tight 38.5%–32.5% split between the leading outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles will clarify whether steering patterns allow further warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,212Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and moderate westerly to southwesterly winds as the main factors capping daytime heating in Karachi on September 6, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 31–32°C high. These conditions, tied to lingering monsoon moisture, reduce solar insolation and promote scattered drizzle potential, aligning with observed September baselines around 31–32°C. Model runs show minor spread on peak values, with some guidance reaching 33°C under brief clearing while others stay near 30°C amid thicker cloud decks, explaining the tight 38.5%–32.5% split between the leading outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles will clarify whether steering patterns allow further warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,212Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and moderate westerly to southwesterly winds as the main factors capping daytime heating in Karachi on September 6, supporting market-implied odds favoring a 31–32°C high. These conditions, tied to lingering monsoon moisture, reduce solar insolation and promote scattered drizzle potential, aligning with observed September baselines around 31–32°C. Model runs show minor spread on peak values, with some guidance reaching 33°C under brief clearing while others stay near 30°C amid thicker cloud decks, explaining the tight 38.5%–32.5% split between the leading outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles will clarify whether steering patterns allow further warming before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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