Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?

Aug 14

Aug 15

Aug 16

Aug 14

Aug 15

Aug 16

31°C 36%

32°C 31%

30°C 20%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
NOWE

$39,021 Wol.

31°C 36%

32°C 31%

30°C 20%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
NOWE

$39,021 Wol.

27°C or below

$1,708 Wol.

<1%

28°C

$6,624 Wol.

2%

29°C

$5,773 Wol.

6%

30°C

$4,343 Wol.

20%

31°C

$5,111 Wol.

36%

32°C

$3,269 Wol.

31%

33°C

$4,589 Wol.

8%

34°C

$4,494 Wol.

1%

35°C

$1,824 Wol.

<1%

36°C

$618 Wol.

<1%

37°C or higher

$669 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models currently favors a daily maximum near 31–32°C for August 15, with light rain and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings under typical subtropical summer conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 37.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities aligns with these guidance ranges and historical August baselines around 31°C, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ account for remaining uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized heating. Seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures provide broader context, with resolution hinging on official Observatory measurements at the reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,021
Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models currently favors a daily maximum near 31–32°C for August 15, with light rain and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings under typical subtropical summer conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 37.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities aligns with these guidance ranges and historical August baselines around 31°C, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ account for remaining uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized heating. Seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures provide broader context, with resolution hinging on official Observatory measurements at the reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,021
Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Powiązane

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?

41%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?

100%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 15?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 15?

46%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 11 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "31°C" z 36%, za nim "32°C" z 31%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 36¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 36% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?" wygenerował $39K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 13, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?", przeglądaj 11 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?" jest "31°C" z 36%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 36% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "32°C" z 31%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.