Recent medium-range model guidance from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a transitional synoptic pattern over northwest Europe, with a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming but moderated by Atlantic maritime air. This setup supports daily maximum temperatures near the August climatological average of 21–22 °C for Amsterdam, with limited potential for outliers above 25 °C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Traders are weighting ensemble means and spread against historical analogs, noting that short-term updates from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and any late-week model shifts in 500 hPa heights will be the key catalysts for odds movement ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
23°C 21%
24°C 18%
22°C 12%
21°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
12%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
23°C 21%
24°C 18%
22°C 12%
21°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Wol.
5%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$0 Wol.
7%
22°C
$0 Wol.
12%
23°C
$0 Wol.
21%
24°C
$0 Wol.
18%
25°C
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$5 Wol.
7%
27°C
$5 Wol.
2%
28°C
$5 Wol.
2%
29°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent medium-range model guidance from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a transitional synoptic pattern over northwest Europe, with a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming but moderated by Atlantic maritime air. This setup supports daily maximum temperatures near the August climatological average of 21–22 °C for Amsterdam, with limited potential for outliers above 25 °C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Traders are weighting ensemble means and spread against historical analogs, noting that short-term updates from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and any late-week model shifts in 500 hPa heights will be the key catalysts for odds movement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent medium-range model guidance from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a transitional synoptic pattern over northwest Europe, with a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming but moderated by Atlantic maritime air. This setup supports daily maximum temperatures near the August climatological average of 21–22 °C for Amsterdam, with limited potential for outliers above 25 °C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Traders are weighting ensemble means and spread against historical analogs, noting that short-term updates from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and any late-week model shifts in 500 hPa heights will be the key catalysts for odds movement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent medium-range model guidance from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a transitional synoptic pattern over northwest Europe, with a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming but moderated by Atlantic maritime air. This setup supports daily maximum temperatures near the August climatological average of 21–22 °C for Amsterdam, with limited potential for outliers above 25 °C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Traders are weighting ensemble means and spread against historical analogs, noting that short-term updates from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and any late-week model shifts in 500 hPa heights will be the key catalysts for odds movement ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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