Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 34°C for September 5 under clear to mostly sunny conditions associated with the lingering “autumn tiger” heat pattern. Multiple numerical weather models and real-time observations through mid-afternoon align on this peak, consistent with recent days of 33–35°C before a sharp cooling trend begins later in the week. Trader consensus at 92.7% for 34°C reflects this model agreement and the low probability of significant cloud cover or precipitation altering the outcome on the final measurement day. Only unexpected early convective activity or a slight downward revision in verified station readings could realistically shift the recorded high to 33°C or below.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
34°C 98.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$35,737 Wol.
$35,737 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
93%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$35,737 Wol.
$35,737 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
93%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 34°C for September 5 under clear to mostly sunny conditions associated with the lingering “autumn tiger” heat pattern. Multiple numerical weather models and real-time observations through mid-afternoon align on this peak, consistent with recent days of 33–35°C before a sharp cooling trend begins later in the week. Trader consensus at 92.7% for 34°C reflects this model agreement and the low probability of significant cloud cover or precipitation altering the outcome on the final measurement day. Only unexpected early convective activity or a slight downward revision in verified station readings could realistically shift the recorded high to 33°C or below.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania