**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and METEOPROG, indicate a high near 29–31°C for Ankara on September 1 under sunny to mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 50%, followed by 29°C (25.5%) and 31°C (21.5%). Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime heating in late summer when high pressure dominates and skies remain clear, allowing surface temperatures to climb from overnight lows around 15–17°C to afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service outlooks show stable conditions with no significant fronts or moisture expected to suppress maxima or trigger cooling. Historical September averages place early-month highs near 27–29°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the observed model runs. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 30°C, while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require rapid model shifts or unforecasted synoptic changes. Updated short-range guidance through the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten further around the 29–31°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
30°C 50%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
28°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
27%
30°C
50%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
28°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$118 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$175 Wol.
1%
27°C
$83 Wol.
2%
28°C
$242 Wol.
4%
29°C
$441 Wol.
27%
30°C
$430 Wol.
50%
31°C
$527 Wol.
22%
32°C
$133 Wol.
3%
33°C
$128 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$135 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$120 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and METEOPROG, indicate a high near 29–31°C for Ankara on September 1 under sunny to mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 50%, followed by 29°C (25.5%) and 31°C (21.5%).
Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime heating in late summer when high pressure dominates and skies remain clear, allowing surface temperatures to climb from overnight lows around 15–17°C to afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service outlooks show stable conditions with no significant fronts or moisture expected to suppress maxima or trigger cooling. Historical September averages place early-month highs near 27–29°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the observed model runs.
With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 30°C, while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require rapid model shifts or unforecasted synoptic changes. Updated short-range guidance through the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten further around the 29–31°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,532Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and METEOPROG, indicate a high near 29–31°C for Ankara on September 1 under sunny to mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 50%, followed by 29°C (25.5%) and 31°C (21.5%).
Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime heating in late summer when high pressure dominates and skies remain clear, allowing surface temperatures to climb from overnight lows around 15–17°C to afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service outlooks show stable conditions with no significant fronts or moisture expected to suppress maxima or trigger cooling. Historical September averages place early-month highs near 27–29°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the observed model runs.
With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 30°C, while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require rapid model shifts or unforecasted synoptic changes. Updated short-range guidance through the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten further around the 29–31°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,532Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and METEOPROG, indicate a high near 29–31°C for Ankara on September 1 under sunny to mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 50%, followed by 29°C (25.5%) and 31°C (21.5%). Ankara’s continental climate features rapid daytime heating in late summer when high pressure dominates and skies remain clear, allowing surface temperatures to climb from overnight lows around 15–17°C to afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service outlooks show stable conditions with no significant fronts or moisture expected to suppress maxima or trigger cooling. Historical September averages place early-month highs near 27–29°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the observed model runs. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble forecasts around 30°C, while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require rapid model shifts or unforecasted synoptic changes. Updated short-range guidance through the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities tighten further around the 29–31°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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