Esthela Damián Peralta holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Guerrero gubernatorial race due to her recent service as Legal Counsel to the Executive under President Claudia Sheinbaum and her formal registration in Morena’s June 2026 internal nomination process alongside 15 other aspirants. She has emphasized territorial organizing, a “Guerrero del Futuro” platform centered on security aligned with federal strategy, tourism and agroindustry growth, and social programs, while distancing herself from any direct presidential endorsement. Polling from mid-2026 showed her competitive within Morena but trailing Beatriz Mojica Morga in some surveys; her federal profile and alignment with the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition—projected to retain the governorship—appear to underpin the current pricing. The 2027 election timeline and the party’s encuesta method for selecting its candidate remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEsthela Damián Peralta 71.2%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.1%
Mario Moreno Arcos <1%
Manuel Añorve Baños <1%
$38,298 Wol.
$38,298 Wol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
71%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
27%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 71.2%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.1%
Mario Moreno Arcos <1%
Manuel Añorve Baños <1%
$38,298 Wol.
$38,298 Wol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
71%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
27%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Esthela Damián Peralta holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Guerrero gubernatorial race due to her recent service as Legal Counsel to the Executive under President Claudia Sheinbaum and her formal registration in Morena’s June 2026 internal nomination process alongside 15 other aspirants. She has emphasized territorial organizing, a “Guerrero del Futuro” platform centered on security aligned with federal strategy, tourism and agroindustry growth, and social programs, while distancing herself from any direct presidential endorsement. Polling from mid-2026 showed her competitive within Morena but trailing Beatriz Mojica Morga in some surveys; her federal profile and alignment with the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition—projected to retain the governorship—appear to underpin the current pricing. The 2027 election timeline and the party’s encuesta method for selecting its candidate remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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