Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features a Republican primary on August 18 that is effectively a formality, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds holding a clear lead in recent polling and benefiting from an early endorsement by President Trump. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state that has not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 and maintains a Republican trifecta. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent statewide results. Democratic nominee David Jolly and other potential challengers confront structural headwinds in a battleground that has trended Republican in gubernatorial and presidential voting since the late 1990s. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 82.5 percent implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$34,962 Wol.
$34,962 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
83%
Democrat
17%
$34,962 Wol.
$34,962 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$14,523 Wol.
83%
Democrat
$20,439 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features a Republican primary on August 18 that is effectively a formality, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds holding a clear lead in recent polling and benefiting from an early endorsement by President Trump. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state that has not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 and maintains a Republican trifecta. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent statewide results. Democratic nominee David Jolly and other potential challengers confront structural headwinds in a battleground that has trended Republican in gubernatorial and presidential voting since the late 1990s. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 82.5 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,962Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features a Republican primary on August 18 that is effectively a formality, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds holding a clear lead in recent polling and benefiting from an early endorsement by President Trump. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state that has not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 and maintains a Republican trifecta. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent statewide results. Democratic nominee David Jolly and other potential challengers confront structural headwinds in a battleground that has trended Republican in gubernatorial and presidential voting since the late 1990s. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 82.5 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$34,962Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features a Republican primary on August 18 that is effectively a formality, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds holding a clear lead in recent polling and benefiting from an early endorsement by President Trump. The general election on November 3 occurs in a state that has not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 and maintains a Republican trifecta. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent statewide results. Democratic nominee David Jolly and other potential challengers confront structural headwinds in a battleground that has trended Republican in gubernatorial and presidential voting since the late 1990s. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 82.5 percent implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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