Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face charges in the Southern District of New York including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine trafficking, and weapons violations; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have remained detained through subsequent hearings, including one on March 26 and further proceedings in July. A trial is scheduled for June 2027, with no bail granted. Trader consensus on release probabilities, currently around 42% by year-end in related markets, reflects the standard application of pretrial detention rules for serious federal narcotics cases, ongoing legal timelines, and limited near-term diplomatic or executive pathways for release absent a plea agreement or policy shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoŻona Madura Cilia Flores zwolniona z aresztu przez…?
Żona Madura Cilia Flores zwolniona z aresztu przez…?
$1,375,008 Wol.
Jan 30, 2026
31 grudnia
17%
$1,375,008 Wol.
31 grudnia
$328,407 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face charges in the Southern District of New York including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine trafficking, and weapons violations; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have remained detained through subsequent hearings, including one on March 26 and further proceedings in July. A trial is scheduled for June 2027, with no bail granted. Trader consensus on release probabilities, currently around 42% by year-end in related markets, reflects the standard application of pretrial detention rules for serious federal narcotics cases, ongoing legal timelines, and limited near-term diplomatic or executive pathways for release absent a plea agreement or policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,375,008Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face charges in the Southern District of New York including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine trafficking, and weapons violations; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have remained detained through subsequent hearings, including one on March 26 and further proceedings in July. A trial is scheduled for June 2027, with no bail granted. Trader consensus on release probabilities, currently around 42% by year-end in related markets, reflects the standard application of pretrial detention rules for serious federal narcotics cases, ongoing legal timelines, and limited near-term diplomatic or executive pathways for release absent a plea agreement or policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,375,008Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face charges in the Southern District of New York including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine trafficking, and weapons violations; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have remained detained through subsequent hearings, including one on March 26 and further proceedings in July. A trial is scheduled for June 2027, with no bail granted. Trader consensus on release probabilities, currently around 42% by year-end in related markets, reflects the standard application of pretrial detention rules for serious federal narcotics cases, ongoing legal timelines, and limited near-term diplomatic or executive pathways for release absent a plea agreement or policy shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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