Recent releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra have rapidly elevated the frontier, with Fable 5.1 topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards on coding, agentic tasks, and composite benchmarks while Astra claims state-of-the-art results in computer use and cybersecurity. These models outperform the specific Claude Opus 5 and 4.x variants listed in the market, which launched earlier and now trail on capability and efficiency metrics. Trader consensus on “Other” at 95.5% reflects this shift, as no major new releases or benchmark updates are scheduled before September 7. A surprise internal test or undisclosed capability demonstration from one of the listed variants could theoretically alter sentiment, though current evidence makes such an outcome improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBest AI model on September 7?
Best AI model on September 7?
Other 95.5%
claude-opus-5-high 1.5%
claude-opus-4-6-high 1.0%
claude-opus-5-max <1%
$57,150 Wol.
$57,150 Wol.
Sep 7, 2026
Other
96%
claude-opus-5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-6-high
1%
claude-opus-5-max
1%
Other 95.5%
claude-opus-5-high 1.5%
claude-opus-4-6-high 1.0%
claude-opus-5-max <1%
$57,150 Wol.
$57,150 Wol.
Sep 7, 2026
Other
$29,592 Wol.
96%
claude-opus-5-high
$9,621 Wol.
1%
claude-opus-4-6-high
$4,782 Wol.
1%
claude-opus-5-max
$13,155 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra have rapidly elevated the frontier, with Fable 5.1 topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards on coding, agentic tasks, and composite benchmarks while Astra claims state-of-the-art results in computer use and cybersecurity. These models outperform the specific Claude Opus 5 and 4.x variants listed in the market, which launched earlier and now trail on capability and efficiency metrics. Trader consensus on “Other” at 95.5% reflects this shift, as no major new releases or benchmark updates are scheduled before September 7. A surprise internal test or undisclosed capability demonstration from one of the listed variants could theoretically alter sentiment, though current evidence makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$57,150Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra have rapidly elevated the frontier, with Fable 5.1 topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards on coding, agentic tasks, and composite benchmarks while Astra claims state-of-the-art results in computer use and cybersecurity. These models outperform the specific Claude Opus 5 and 4.x variants listed in the market, which launched earlier and now trail on capability and efficiency metrics. Trader consensus on “Other” at 95.5% reflects this shift, as no major new releases or benchmark updates are scheduled before September 7. A surprise internal test or undisclosed capability demonstration from one of the listed variants could theoretically alter sentiment, though current evidence makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$57,150Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra have rapidly elevated the frontier, with Fable 5.1 topping multiple September 2026 leaderboards on coding, agentic tasks, and composite benchmarks while Astra claims state-of-the-art results in computer use and cybersecurity. These models outperform the specific Claude Opus 5 and 4.x variants listed in the market, which launched earlier and now trail on capability and efficiency metrics. Trader consensus on “Other” at 95.5% reflects this shift, as no major new releases or benchmark updates are scheduled before September 7. A surprise internal test or undisclosed capability demonstration from one of the listed variants could theoretically alter sentiment, though current evidence makes such an outcome improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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