**Recent polling from late August and early September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading intentions for the two Bahia Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) placed second in most combined-vote simulations.** This positioning underpins trader consensus around Wagner for second place. Opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail but remain competitive for the remaining spots, often polling in the mid-teens to mid-20s in aggregated scenarios. High undecided and blank/null shares (typically 20-30%) plus notable rejection levels for the leading PT names keep the contest for the second seat fluid. Candidate registrations closed in late August with ten names on the ballot, and ongoing surveys through early September have not produced major shifts. Further late-cycle polling, turnout patterns among PT bases versus opposition voters, or any new campaign developments could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Jaques Wagner 59%
Angelo Coronel 17.2%
Rui Costa 14.5%
João Roma 5.6%
$30,076 Wol.
$30,076 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
59%
Angelo Coronel
17%
Rui Costa
14%
João Roma
6%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 59%
Angelo Coronel 17.2%
Rui Costa 14.5%
João Roma 5.6%
$30,076 Wol.
$30,076 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$19,191 Wol.
59%
Angelo Coronel
$1,506 Wol.
17%
Rui Costa
$4,601 Wol.
14%
João Roma
$989 Wol.
6%
Carlos Sodré
$652 Wol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Wol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Wol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Wol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Wol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August and early September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading intentions for the two Bahia Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) placed second in most combined-vote simulations.** This positioning underpins trader consensus around Wagner for second place. Opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail but remain competitive for the remaining spots, often polling in the mid-teens to mid-20s in aggregated scenarios. High undecided and blank/null shares (typically 20-30%) plus notable rejection levels for the leading PT names keep the contest for the second seat fluid. Candidate registrations closed in late August with ten names on the ballot, and ongoing surveys through early September have not produced major shifts. Further late-cycle polling, turnout patterns among PT bases versus opposition voters, or any new campaign developments could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,076Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August and early September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading intentions for the two Bahia Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) placed second in most combined-vote simulations.** This positioning underpins trader consensus around Wagner for second place. Opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail but remain competitive for the remaining spots, often polling in the mid-teens to mid-20s in aggregated scenarios. High undecided and blank/null shares (typically 20-30%) plus notable rejection levels for the leading PT names keep the contest for the second seat fluid. Candidate registrations closed in late August with ten names on the ballot, and ongoing surveys through early September have not produced major shifts. Further late-cycle polling, turnout patterns among PT bases versus opposition voters, or any new campaign developments could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$30,076Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling from late August and early September 2026 shows Rui Costa (PT) consistently leading intentions for the two Bahia Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) placed second in most combined-vote simulations.** This positioning underpins trader consensus around Wagner for second place. Opposition candidates João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) trail but remain competitive for the remaining spots, often polling in the mid-teens to mid-20s in aggregated scenarios. High undecided and blank/null shares (typically 20-30%) plus notable rejection levels for the leading PT names keep the contest for the second seat fluid. Candidate registrations closed in late August with ten names on the ballot, and ongoing surveys through early September have not produced major shifts. Further late-cycle polling, turnout patterns among PT bases versus opposition voters, or any new campaign developments could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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