The closely matched probabilities around the 120-199 post range reflect trader consensus on the @WhiteHouse account's elevated but variable output under the current administration, which has more than doubled its posting frequency compared with prior patterns. Recent weeks show daily volumes often exceeding 20 posts, driven by regular updates on border enforcement, election integrity measures, and administration priorities, with spikes tied to presidential travel, announcements, or responses to breaking developments. The specific July 21-28 window lacks major scheduled events or holidays likely to disrupt routines, keeping bins tightly bunched as crowds price in historical weekly averages near 150-180. Separation could emerge from unexpected high-impact news cycles prompting rapid posting surges, extended quiet periods during low-news stretches, or shifts in strategy around key policy rollouts. Lower bins remain discounted absent evidence of sustained slowdowns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200+ 75%
180-199 22%
160-179 12.0%
120-139 4.0%
$11,932 Vol.
$11,932 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
4%
140-159
2%
160-179
8%
180-199
22%
200+
75%
200+ 75%
180-199 22%
160-179 12.0%
120-139 4.0%
$11,932 Vol.
$11,932 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
4%
140-159
2%
160-179
8%
180-199
22%
200+
75%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around the 120-199 post range reflect trader consensus on the @WhiteHouse account's elevated but variable output under the current administration, which has more than doubled its posting frequency compared with prior patterns. Recent weeks show daily volumes often exceeding 20 posts, driven by regular updates on border enforcement, election integrity measures, and administration priorities, with spikes tied to presidential travel, announcements, or responses to breaking developments. The specific July 21-28 window lacks major scheduled events or holidays likely to disrupt routines, keeping bins tightly bunched as crowds price in historical weekly averages near 150-180. Separation could emerge from unexpected high-impact news cycles prompting rapid posting surges, extended quiet periods during low-news stretches, or shifts in strategy around key policy rollouts. Lower bins remain discounted absent evidence of sustained slowdowns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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