UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 reflect a closely balanced market where the 0.0–0.3% quarterly bands hold the highest implied probabilities amid softening momentum. Q2 expanded 0.4% QoQ after Q1’s 0.6%, while full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.9% as energy-price shocks from Middle East supply disruptions elevate imported inflation and squeeze real incomes. CPI stood at 2.6% in June with upside risks later in the year, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% and keep monetary policy restrictive relative to the neutral rate. A loosening labor market, with unemployment near 4.9%, and subdued hiring further cap near-term expansion, while any sustained easing in energy costs or fiscal support could lift outcomes toward the upper bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.2～0.3％ 43%
0.0～0.1% 42%
0.4〜0.5％ 39%
マイナス 37%
新規
新規
2026/11/12
マイナス
37%
0.0～0.1%
42%
0.2～0.3％
43%
0.4〜0.5％
39%
0.6～0.7％
37%
0.8～0.9％
7%
1.0％以上
7%
0.2～0.3％ 43%
0.0～0.1% 42%
0.4〜0.5％ 39%
マイナス 37%
新規
新規
2026/11/12
マイナス
$0 Vol.
37%
0.0～0.1%
$0 Vol.
42%
0.2～0.3％
$0 Vol.
43%
0.4〜0.5％
$0 Vol.
39%
0.6～0.7％
$0 Vol.
37%
0.8～0.9％
$0 Vol.
7%
1.0％以上
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 reflect a closely balanced market where the 0.0–0.3% quarterly bands hold the highest implied probabilities amid softening momentum. Q2 expanded 0.4% QoQ after Q1’s 0.6%, while full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.9% as energy-price shocks from Middle East supply disruptions elevate imported inflation and squeeze real incomes. CPI stood at 2.6% in June with upside risks later in the year, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% and keep monetary policy restrictive relative to the neutral rate. A loosening labor market, with unemployment near 4.9%, and subdued hiring further cap near-term expansion, while any sustained easing in energy costs or fiscal support could lift outcomes toward the upper bins.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/12マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 reflect a closely balanced market where the 0.0–0.3% quarterly bands hold the highest implied probabilities amid softening momentum. Q2 expanded 0.4% QoQ after Q1’s 0.6%, while full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.9% as energy-price shocks from Middle East supply disruptions elevate imported inflation and squeeze real incomes. CPI stood at 2.6% in June with upside risks later in the year, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% and keep monetary policy restrictive relative to the neutral rate. A loosening labor market, with unemployment near 4.9%, and subdued hiring further cap near-term expansion, while any sustained easing in energy costs or fiscal support could lift outcomes toward the upper bins.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/12マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 reflect a closely balanced market where the 0.0–0.3% quarterly bands hold the highest implied probabilities amid softening momentum. Q2 expanded 0.4% QoQ after Q1’s 0.6%, while full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.9% as energy-price shocks from Middle East supply disruptions elevate imported inflation and squeeze real incomes. CPI stood at 2.6% in June with upside risks later in the year, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% and keep monetary policy restrictive relative to the neutral rate. A loosening labor market, with unemployment near 4.9%, and subdued hiring further cap near-term expansion, while any sustained easing in energy costs or fiscal support could lift outcomes toward the upper bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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