Germany's Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects modest momentum amid countervailing forces, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around low-positive outcomes near 0.1-1.2%. Preliminary Q2 data showed 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, aided by exports yet constrained by subdued household spending and declining capital formation. The March 2026 Iran-related energy price shock has elevated HICP inflation toward 2.9% for the year, eroding real incomes and pressuring margins while fiscal stimulus and defense outlays provide support. Labor market conditions remain largely stagnant, with unemployment near 6.2% and limited employment gains amid demographic headwinds. Traders appear focused on whether these dynamics stabilize growth near recent quarterly prints or tip toward weaker readings as commodity effects persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.0-1.2% 39%
≤0.0% 37%
0.1-0.3% 37%
0.4-0.6% 37%
新規
新規
2026/10/30
≤0.0%
37%
0.1-0.3%
37%
0.4-0.6%
37%
0.7-0.9%
28%
1.0-1.2%
39%
1.3%+
25%
1.0-1.2% 39%
≤0.0% 37%
0.1-0.3% 37%
0.4-0.6% 37%
新規
新規
2026/10/30
≤0.0%
$90 Vol.
37%
0.1-0.3%
$0 Vol.
37%
0.4-0.6%
$0 Vol.
37%
0.7-0.9%
$0 Vol.
28%
1.0-1.2%
$0 Vol.
39%
1.3%+
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects modest momentum amid countervailing forces, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around low-positive outcomes near 0.1-1.2%. Preliminary Q2 data showed 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, aided by exports yet constrained by subdued household spending and declining capital formation. The March 2026 Iran-related energy price shock has elevated HICP inflation toward 2.9% for the year, eroding real incomes and pressuring margins while fiscal stimulus and defense outlays provide support. Labor market conditions remain largely stagnant, with unemployment near 6.2% and limited employment gains amid demographic headwinds. Traders appear focused on whether these dynamics stabilize growth near recent quarterly prints or tip toward weaker readings as commodity effects persist.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
音量
$90終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects modest momentum amid countervailing forces, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around low-positive outcomes near 0.1-1.2%. Preliminary Q2 data showed 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, aided by exports yet constrained by subdued household spending and declining capital formation. The March 2026 Iran-related energy price shock has elevated HICP inflation toward 2.9% for the year, eroding real incomes and pressuring margins while fiscal stimulus and defense outlays provide support. Labor market conditions remain largely stagnant, with unemployment near 6.2% and limited employment gains amid demographic headwinds. Traders appear focused on whether these dynamics stabilize growth near recent quarterly prints or tip toward weaker readings as commodity effects persist.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$90終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany's Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects modest momentum amid countervailing forces, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around low-positive outcomes near 0.1-1.2%. Preliminary Q2 data showed 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, aided by exports yet constrained by subdued household spending and declining capital formation. The March 2026 Iran-related energy price shock has elevated HICP inflation toward 2.9% for the year, eroding real incomes and pressuring margins while fiscal stimulus and defense outlays provide support. Labor market conditions remain largely stagnant, with unemployment near 6.2% and limited employment gains amid demographic headwinds. Traders appear focused on whether these dynamics stabilize growth near recent quarterly prints or tip toward weaker readings as commodity effects persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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