SpaceX’s recent Flight 13 success with the Version 3 Starship on July 24, 2026, demonstrated key V3 upgrades including Raptor 3 engines, enhanced heatshield performance, in-space relight capability, and Starlink V3 satellite deployment. These vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware, directly enabling the ship-to-ship rendezvous targeted for later in 2026. SpaceX updates confirm plans for an initial long-duration orbital Starship flight followed by a second tanker launch to demonstrate orbital refueling using DragonEye sensors. Flight 14, scheduled no earlier than September 2026, represents the next milestone toward sustained orbital operations. Regulatory approvals, rapid iteration pace, and prior test outcomes continue to shape trader views on whether two Starships can dock before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$59,605 Vol.
2026/12/31
2026年12月31日
12%
2027年12月31日
61%
$59,605 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$38,816 Vol.
12%
2027年12月31日
$20,789 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s recent Flight 13 success with the Version 3 Starship on July 24, 2026, demonstrated key V3 upgrades including Raptor 3 engines, enhanced heatshield performance, in-space relight capability, and Starlink V3 satellite deployment. These vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware, directly enabling the ship-to-ship rendezvous targeted for later in 2026. SpaceX updates confirm plans for an initial long-duration orbital Starship flight followed by a second tanker launch to demonstrate orbital refueling using DragonEye sensors. Flight 14, scheduled no earlier than September 2026, represents the next milestone toward sustained orbital operations. Regulatory approvals, rapid iteration pace, and prior test outcomes continue to shape trader views on whether two Starships can dock before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
音量
$59,605終了日
2028/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s recent Flight 13 success with the Version 3 Starship on July 24, 2026, demonstrated key V3 upgrades including Raptor 3 engines, enhanced heatshield performance, in-space relight capability, and Starlink V3 satellite deployment. These vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware, directly enabling the ship-to-ship rendezvous targeted for later in 2026. SpaceX updates confirm plans for an initial long-duration orbital Starship flight followed by a second tanker launch to demonstrate orbital refueling using DragonEye sensors. Flight 14, scheduled no earlier than September 2026, represents the next milestone toward sustained orbital operations. Regulatory approvals, rapid iteration pace, and prior test outcomes continue to shape trader views on whether two Starships can dock before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$59,605終了日
2028/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s recent Flight 13 success with the Version 3 Starship on July 24, 2026, demonstrated key V3 upgrades including Raptor 3 engines, enhanced heatshield performance, in-space relight capability, and Starlink V3 satellite deployment. These vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware, directly enabling the ship-to-ship rendezvous targeted for later in 2026. SpaceX updates confirm plans for an initial long-duration orbital Starship flight followed by a second tanker launch to demonstrate orbital refueling using DragonEye sensors. Flight 14, scheduled no earlier than September 2026, represents the next milestone toward sustained orbital operations. Regulatory approvals, rapid iteration pace, and prior test outcomes continue to shape trader views on whether two Starships can dock before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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