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icon for Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?

Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?

icon for Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?

Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?

はい

7% 確率
Polymarket

$17,942 Vol.

はい

7% 確率
Polymarket

$17,942 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Google and SpaceX remain in preliminary discussions over a potential launch agreement for orbital data centers tied to Alphabet's Project Suncatcher, with no formal deal announced as of early June 2026. The May 12 Wall Street Journal report highlighted advanced talks aimed at leveraging SpaceX rockets for space-based AI infrastructure, yet subsequent weeks have brought no confirmed contracts, regulatory filings, or executive statements advancing the partnership to a signed agreement. This lack of concrete progress, combined with typical corporate negotiation timelines and the imminent June 30 cutoff, underpins the market's strong 93% "No" consensus. A last-minute announcement or leaked term sheet could still shift odds, though historical precedents show such high-stakes tech deals rarely finalize on compressed deadlines without prior signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.

Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.

Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$17,942
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Google and SpaceX remain in preliminary discussions over a potential launch agreement for orbital data centers tied to Alphabet's Project Suncatcher, with no formal deal announced as of early June 2026. The May 12 Wall Street Journal report highlighted advanced talks aimed at leveraging SpaceX rockets for space-based AI infrastructure, yet subsequent weeks have brought no confirmed contracts, regulatory filings, or executive statements advancing the partnership to a signed agreement. This lack of concrete progress, combined with typical corporate negotiation timelines and the imminent June 30 cutoff, underpins the market's strong 93% "No" consensus. A last-minute announcement or leaked term sheet could still shift odds, though historical precedents show such high-stakes tech deals rarely finalize on compressed deadlines without prior signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.

Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.

Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$17,942
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「GoogleとSpaceXが6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することで合意した?」で7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、7¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に7%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?」は$17.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「GoogleとSpaceXが6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することで合意した?」でわずか7%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Google x SpaceXは、6月30日までにデータセンターを宇宙に設置することに同意しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。