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icon for トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

icon for トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?

新規
2026/08/31
Polymarket

$3,509 Vol.

Polymarket

8月31日

$1,214 Vol.

1%

9月15日

$1,030 Vol.

7%

9月30日

$1,168 Vol.

29%

10月31日

$106 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-Canada trade tensions have cooled prospects for an early in-person meeting between President Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.** Negotiations collapsed in late August 2026 after weeks of disputes over tariffs on autos, steel, aluminum, agriculture, digital content, and energy projects, with the US imposing 50% tariffs on select Canadian goods and Ottawa preparing retaliation. Carney described the US approach as a “miscalculation” and suspended talks, stressing Canada’s refusal to accept a subordinate economic role, while Trump criticized Canadian positions and signaled further measures. Informal contacts occurred at the June 2026 G7 summit without a formal bilateral session, and earlier 2025 White House meetings plus mid-August phone or virtual exchanges briefly paused new tariffs before the breakdown. With diplomatic momentum reduced and no scheduled high-level engagements announced through early September, trader consensus reflects limited near-term likelihood of a qualifying in-person meeting. Any verified bilateral encounter before market resolution dates would shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,509
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-Canada trade tensions have cooled prospects for an early in-person meeting between President Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.** Negotiations collapsed in late August 2026 after weeks of disputes over tariffs on autos, steel, aluminum, agriculture, digital content, and energy projects, with the US imposing 50% tariffs on select Canadian goods and Ottawa preparing retaliation. Carney described the US approach as a “miscalculation” and suspended talks, stressing Canada’s refusal to accept a subordinate economic role, while Trump criticized Canadian positions and signaled further measures. Informal contacts occurred at the June 2026 G7 summit without a formal bilateral session, and earlier 2025 White House meetings plus mid-August phone or virtual exchanges briefly paused new tariffs before the breakdown. With diplomatic momentum reduced and no scheduled high-level engagements announced through early September, trader consensus reflects limited near-term likelihood of a qualifying in-person meeting. Any verified bilateral encounter before market resolution dates would shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,509
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「10月31日」で51%、次いで「9月30日」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、51¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に51%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「トランプがマーク・カーニーと会うのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「10月31日」で51%であり、市場がこの結果に51%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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