The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 but remains stalled in the Senate. Multiple versions have failed to advance due to the 60-vote cloture threshold, with Republicans holding 53 seats and insufficient cross-party support. Recent attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or budget reconciliation in July 2026 also did not overcome Senate opposition. Trader consensus favoring "No" for 2026 enactment reflects these repeated procedural barriers, narrow majorities, and lack of viable legislative paths before year-end, consistent with historical patterns for similar election-related bills.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 but remains stalled in the Senate. Multiple versions have failed to advance due to the 60-vote cloture threshold, with Republicans holding 53 seats and insufficient cross-party support. Recent attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or budget reconciliation in July 2026 also did not overcome Senate opposition. Trader consensus favoring "No" for 2026 enactment reflects these repeated procedural barriers, narrow majorities, and lack of viable legislative paths before year-end, consistent with historical patterns for similar election-related bills.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
音量
$190,044終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 but remains stalled in the Senate. Multiple versions have failed to advance due to the 60-vote cloture threshold, with Republicans holding 53 seats and insufficient cross-party support. Recent attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or budget reconciliation in July 2026 also did not overcome Senate opposition. Trader consensus favoring "No" for 2026 enactment reflects these repeated procedural barriers, narrow majorities, and lack of viable legislative paths before year-end, consistent with historical patterns for similar election-related bills.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$190,044終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 but remains stalled in the Senate. Multiple versions have failed to advance due to the 60-vote cloture threshold, with Republicans holding 53 seats and insufficient cross-party support. Recent attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or budget reconciliation in July 2026 also did not overcome Senate opposition. Trader consensus favoring "No" for 2026 enactment reflects these repeated procedural barriers, narrow majorities, and lack of viable legislative paths before year-end, consistent with historical patterns for similar election-related bills.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問