Skip to main content
icon for ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

icon for ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

40-59 49%

20-39 40%

60-79 13%

100-119 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

$10,694 Vol.

40-59 49%

20-39 40%

60-79 13%

100-119 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

$10,694 Vol.

<20

$659 Vol.

1%

20-39

$3,024 Vol.

40%

40-59

$2,032 Vol.

49%

60-79

$1,526 Vol.

13%

80-99

$686 Vol.

1%

100-119

$475 Vol.

1%

120-139

$453 Vol.

1%

140-159

$453 Vol.

1%

160-179

$438 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$475 Vol.

<1%

200+

$475 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a steady social media presence tied to policy rollouts, public events, and official updates. Trader consensus clusters between the 20-39 and 40-59 post ranges because his recent weekly output has hovered near that midpoint, reflecting routine activity levels rather than spikes from crises. The early-August reports of coordinated amplification networks linked to City Hall have heightened scrutiny on his X account without yet altering baseline volume. Upcoming scheduled announcements on delivery regulations, transit projects, and community appearances could push totals higher, while a quieter stretch focused on internal administration might keep counts lower. Resolution hinges on verifiable posts from his verified accounts during the exact seven-day window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$10,694
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a steady social media presence tied to policy rollouts, public events, and official updates. Trader consensus clusters between the 20-39 and 40-59 post ranges because his recent weekly output has hovered near that midpoint, reflecting routine activity levels rather than spikes from crises. The early-August reports of coordinated amplification networks linked to City Hall have heightened scrutiny on his X account without yet altering baseline volume. Upcoming scheduled announcements on delivery regulations, transit projects, and community appearances could push totals higher, while a quieter stretch focused on internal administration might keep counts lower. Resolution hinges on verifiable posts from his verified accounts during the exact seven-day window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$10,694
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「40-59」で49%、次いで「20-39」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」は$10.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「40-59」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20-39」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。