Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, with final tallies showing her at roughly 56 percent against Antonio Reynoso’s 36 percent and Julie Won’s 6 percent, producing a margin above 20 points. Traders assign near-certainty to a victory of 15 points or more because these results align with pre-election polling trends, Valdez’s fundraising edge, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders, and the typical low-turnout dynamics that rewarded her organized campaign in the Brooklyn-Queens district. The primary followed the retirement of longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Official certification or any narrow procedural adjustments remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final recorded margin, though available counts leave little room for such movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日バルデス 15％以上 98.5%
バルデス 10〜15％ 3.7%
バルデス 5～10％ <1%
バルデス <5％ <1%
$40,371 Vol.
$40,371 Vol.
2026/06/23
バルデス 15％以上
99%
バルデス 10〜15％
4%
バルデス 5～10％
<1%
バルデス <5％
<1%
バルデス 15％以上 98.5%
バルデス 10〜15％ 3.7%
バルデス 5～10％ <1%
バルデス <5％ <1%
$40,371 Vol.
$40,371 Vol.
2026/06/23
バルデス 15％以上
$7,078 Vol.
99%
バルデス 10〜15％
$7,800 Vol.
4%
バルデス 5～10％
$5,715 Vol.
<1%
バルデス <5％
$6,184 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, with final tallies showing her at roughly 56 percent against Antonio Reynoso’s 36 percent and Julie Won’s 6 percent, producing a margin above 20 points. Traders assign near-certainty to a victory of 15 points or more because these results align with pre-election polling trends, Valdez’s fundraising edge, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders, and the typical low-turnout dynamics that rewarded her organized campaign in the Brooklyn-Queens district. The primary followed the retirement of longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Official certification or any narrow procedural adjustments remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final recorded margin, though available counts leave little room for such movement.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
音量
$40,371終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, with final tallies showing her at roughly 56 percent against Antonio Reynoso’s 36 percent and Julie Won’s 6 percent, producing a margin above 20 points. Traders assign near-certainty to a victory of 15 points or more because these results align with pre-election polling trends, Valdez’s fundraising edge, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders, and the typical low-turnout dynamics that rewarded her organized campaign in the Brooklyn-Queens district. The primary followed the retirement of longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Official certification or any narrow procedural adjustments remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final recorded margin, though available counts leave little room for such movement.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$40,371終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, with final tallies showing her at roughly 56 percent against Antonio Reynoso’s 36 percent and Julie Won’s 6 percent, producing a margin above 20 points. Traders assign near-certainty to a victory of 15 points or more because these results align with pre-election polling trends, Valdez’s fundraising edge, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders, and the typical low-turnout dynamics that rewarded her organized campaign in the Brooklyn-Queens district. The primary followed the retirement of longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez. Official certification or any narrow procedural adjustments remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final recorded margin, though available counts leave little room for such movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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