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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.2%

Santiago Abascal 6.3%

イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 5.7%

Polymarket

$93,732 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.2%

Santiago Abascal 6.3%

イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 5.7%

Polymarket

$93,732 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$26,275 Vol.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$14,531 Vol.

9%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$9,027 Vol.

6%

icon for イサベル・ディアス・アユソ

イサベル・ディアス・アユソ

$4,685 Vol.

6%

icon for カルロス・クエルポ

カルロス・クエルポ

$2,150 Vol.

1%

icon for オスカル・プエンテ

オスカル・プエンテ

$1,871 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$3,850 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$2,516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$2,937 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$3,211 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$3,888 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$5,518 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$3,203 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$3,243 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$2,822 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80% as the frontrunner for Spain’s next prime minister, reflecting consistent polling advantages for his People’s Party ahead of the general election due by August 2027. Recent surveys show the PP maintaining a narrow lead over the PSOE, supported by voter concerns over the current minority government’s stability amid ongoing corruption investigations and coalition tensions. Pedro Sánchez’s lower 9% pricing aligns with reports of declining support for his administration, including setbacks in regional contests and legislative gridlock. Lower odds for figures such as Santiago Abascal and Isabel Díaz Ayuso track their parties’ secondary positions in national vote intention data, while the broad distribution across other names captures uncertainty over potential coalition negotiations or leadership shifts before the vote.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$93,732
終了日
2028/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80% as the frontrunner for Spain’s next prime minister, reflecting consistent polling advantages for his People’s Party ahead of the general election due by August 2027. Recent surveys show the PP maintaining a narrow lead over the PSOE, supported by voter concerns over the current minority government’s stability amid ongoing corruption investigations and coalition tensions. Pedro Sánchez’s lower 9% pricing aligns with reports of declining support for his administration, including setbacks in regional contests and legislative gridlock. Lower odds for figures such as Santiago Abascal and Isabel Díaz Ayuso track their parties’ secondary positions in national vote intention data, while the broad distribution across other names captures uncertainty over potential coalition negotiations or leadership shifts before the vote.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$93,732
終了日
2028/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」はPolymarket上の16個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Alberto Núñez Feijóo」で80%、次いで「Pedro Sánchez」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、80¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に80%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」は$93.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている16個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Alberto Núñez Feijóo」で80%であり、市場がこの結果に80%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Pedro Sánchez」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。