South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラルフ・ノーマン 50%
ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン 37%
ラッセル・フライ 9%
マーク・リンチ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
ラルフ・ノーマン
50%
ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン
37%
ラッセル・フライ
9%
マーク・リンチ
7%
パメラ・エベット
4%
マーク・サンフォード
4%
ヘンリー・マクマスター
4%
シェリ・ビッグス
2%
デューク・バクナー
1%
トレイ・ガウディ
1%
ラルフ・ノーマン 50%
ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン 37%
ラッセル・フライ 9%
マーク・リンチ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
ラルフ・ノーマン
$1,892 Vol.
50%
ダーリン・グレアム・ノードーン
$1,831 Vol.
37%
ラッセル・フライ
$449 Vol.
9%
マーク・リンチ
$2,594 Vol.
7%
パメラ・エベット
$251 Vol.
4%
マーク・サンフォード
$184 Vol.
4%
ヘンリー・マクマスター
$247 Vol.
4%
シェリ・ビッグス
$298 Vol.
2%
デューク・バクナー
$571 Vol.
1%
トレイ・ガウディ
$284 Vol.
1%
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
音量
$8,601終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$8,601終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina's crowded Republican primary on August 11 to fill the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate filings by Reps. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone's campaign launch, and Mark Sanford's entry have split conservative voters, endorsements, and name recognition across the state. Polling shows Norman with a modest edge but high undecideds, keeping second-place odds tightly bunched among the top half-dozen contenders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with vote-splitting dynamics and limited time for separation before the first-round vote. Potential catalysts include late endorsements, regional turnout differences, or any final-week shifts in messaging on fiscal and Trump-aligned priorities that could consolidate support behind one challenger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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