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Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

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Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 44%

Stefan Evers 42%

Werner Graf 11.4%

Steffen Krach 1.1%

Polymarket

$72,474 Vol.

Elif Eralp 44%

Stefan Evers 42%

Werner Graf 11.4%

Steffen Krach 1.1%

Polymarket

$72,474 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$38,526 Vol.

44%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$20,075 Vol.

42%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$8,933 Vol.

11%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$2,332 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,609 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features fragmented polling among the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, AfD, and SPD, none of which approaches a majority on current surveys. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over January power-outage communications shifted the party’s nomination to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke fields Elif Eralp and the Greens back Werner Graf. Traders price the top contenders closely because post-election coalition talks—potentially left-leaning or CDU-SPD-Green—will determine the governing mayor after the vote. Further polling shifts, debate performances, or signals on coalition viability could widen the gap before resolution on the eventual coalition agreement.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$72,474
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features fragmented polling among the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, AfD, and SPD, none of which approaches a majority on current surveys. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over January power-outage communications shifted the party’s nomination to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke fields Elif Eralp and the Greens back Werner Graf. Traders price the top contenders closely because post-election coalition talks—potentially left-leaning or CDU-SPD-Green—will determine the governing mayor after the vote. Further polling shifts, debate performances, or signals on coalition viability could widen the gap before resolution on the eventual coalition agreement.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$72,474
終了日
2026/09/20
マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Elif Eralp」で44%、次いで「Stefan Evers」が42%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?」は$72.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Elif Eralp」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Stefan Evers」で42%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。