Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features fragmented polling among the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, AfD, and SPD, none of which approaches a majority on current surveys. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over January power-outage communications shifted the party’s nomination to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke fields Elif Eralp and the Greens back Werner Graf. Traders price the top contenders closely because post-election coalition talks—potentially left-leaning or CDU-SPD-Green—will determine the governing mayor after the vote. Further polling shifts, debate performances, or signals on coalition viability could widen the gap before resolution on the eventual coalition agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Elif Eralp 44%
Stefan Evers 42%
Werner Graf 11.4%
Steffen Krach 1.1%
$72,474 Vol.
$72,474 Vol.

Elif Eralp
44%

Stefan Evers
42%

Werner Graf
11%

Steffen Krach
1%

Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 44%
Stefan Evers 42%
Werner Graf 11.4%
Steffen Krach 1.1%
$72,474 Vol.
$72,474 Vol.

Elif Eralp
44%

Stefan Evers
42%

Werner Graf
11%

Steffen Krach
1%

Kristin Brinker
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features fragmented polling among the CDU, Die Linke, Greens, AfD, and SPD, none of which approaches a majority on current surveys. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal as CDU lead candidate over January power-outage communications shifted the party’s nomination to Finance Senator Stefan Evers, while Die Linke fields Elif Eralp and the Greens back Werner Graf. Traders price the top contenders closely because post-election coalition talks—potentially left-leaning or CDU-SPD-Green—will determine the governing mayor after the vote. Further polling shifts, debate performances, or signals on coalition viability could widen the gap before resolution on the eventual coalition agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問