Tokyo's August climate features persistently warm nights driven by the urban heat island effect, high humidity levels near 75-80%, and seasonal patterns where average minimum temperatures hover around 24°C according to long-term Japan Meteorological Agency normals. Current forecasts for August 18, 2026, indicate an expected overnight low near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation, supporting the market-implied 97.5% consensus on a 25°C minimum. This positioning reflects trader assessment of official observational data and model consensus favoring minimal overnight cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air, heavier rainfall, or stronger winds that enhance radiative cooling, potentially dropping readings to 24°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の東京の最低気温は？
8月18日の東京の最低気温は？
25℃ 98%
24°C 6%
22℃ 1.0%
21℃ <1%
新規
$11,877 Vol.
新規
$11,877 Vol.
2026/08/18
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
6%
25℃
98%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 98%
24°C 6%
22℃ 1.0%
21℃ <1%
新規
$11,877 Vol.
新規
$11,877 Vol.
2026/08/18
20℃以下
$422 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$1,319 Vol.
1%
22℃
$1,516 Vol.
1%
23℃
$2,908 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,240 Vol.
6%
25℃
$2,198 Vol.
98%
26°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$559 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$676 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's August climate features persistently warm nights driven by the urban heat island effect, high humidity levels near 75-80%, and seasonal patterns where average minimum temperatures hover around 24°C according to long-term Japan Meteorological Agency normals. Current forecasts for August 18, 2026, indicate an expected overnight low near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation, supporting the market-implied 97.5% consensus on a 25°C minimum. This positioning reflects trader assessment of official observational data and model consensus favoring minimal overnight cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air, heavier rainfall, or stronger winds that enhance radiative cooling, potentially dropping readings to 24°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$11,877終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's August climate features persistently warm nights driven by the urban heat island effect, high humidity levels near 75-80%, and seasonal patterns where average minimum temperatures hover around 24°C according to long-term Japan Meteorological Agency normals. Current forecasts for August 18, 2026, indicate an expected overnight low near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation, supporting the market-implied 97.5% consensus on a 25°C minimum. This positioning reflects trader assessment of official observational data and model consensus favoring minimal overnight cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air, heavier rainfall, or stronger winds that enhance radiative cooling, potentially dropping readings to 24°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,877終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTokyo's August climate features persistently warm nights driven by the urban heat island effect, high humidity levels near 75-80%, and seasonal patterns where average minimum temperatures hover around 24°C according to long-term Japan Meteorological Agency normals. Current forecasts for August 18, 2026, indicate an expected overnight low near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation, supporting the market-implied 97.5% consensus on a 25°C minimum. This positioning reflects trader assessment of official observational data and model consensus favoring minimal overnight cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air, heavier rainfall, or stronger winds that enhance radiative cooling, potentially dropping readings to 24°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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