**Current meteorological forecasts and observational trends strongly support trader consensus on a 26°C minimum in Shanghai for August 18.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including typical outputs aligned with AccuWeather and timeanddate projections, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) under prevailing humid subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where Shanghai’s average lows hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Official minimum readings from stations monitored by the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with the narrow 99% market-implied probability reflecting tight model agreement and minimal expected variance. A realistic challenge would require atypical factors such as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies, stronger winds, or localized precipitation that drops the observed low below 25°C—developments not indicated in the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の上海の最低気温は？
8月18日の上海の最低気温は？
26℃ 99.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
新規
$18,994 Vol.
新規
$18,994 Vol.
2026/08/18
20°C以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
99%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
26℃ 99.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
新規
$18,994 Vol.
新規
$18,994 Vol.
2026/08/18
20°C以下
$462 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$462 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$3,891 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$3,597 Vol.
99%
27℃
$6,750 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$418 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts and observational trends strongly support trader consensus on a 26°C minimum in Shanghai for August 18.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including typical outputs aligned with AccuWeather and timeanddate projections, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) under prevailing humid subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where Shanghai’s average lows hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Official minimum readings from stations monitored by the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with the narrow 99% market-implied probability reflecting tight model agreement and minimal expected variance. A realistic challenge would require atypical factors such as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies, stronger winds, or localized precipitation that drops the observed low below 25°C—developments not indicated in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$18,994終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts and observational trends strongly support trader consensus on a 26°C minimum in Shanghai for August 18.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including typical outputs aligned with AccuWeather and timeanddate projections, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) under prevailing humid subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where Shanghai’s average lows hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Official minimum readings from stations monitored by the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with the narrow 99% market-implied probability reflecting tight model agreement and minimal expected variance. A realistic challenge would require atypical factors such as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies, stronger winds, or localized precipitation that drops the observed low below 25°C—developments not indicated in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18,994終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Current meteorological forecasts and observational trends strongly support trader consensus on a 26°C minimum in Shanghai for August 18.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including typical outputs aligned with AccuWeather and timeanddate projections, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) under prevailing humid subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where Shanghai’s average lows hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects. Official minimum readings from stations monitored by the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with the narrow 99% market-implied probability reflecting tight model agreement and minimal expected variance. A realistic challenge would require atypical factors such as enhanced radiative cooling under clearer skies, stronger winds, or localized precipitation that drops the observed low below 25°C—developments not indicated in the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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