Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily minimum of 70–71°F on August 17, locking in market-implied odds at 100% for that bin. Recent National Weather Service data confirm stable overnight conditions under a warm, humid air mass with minimal radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 72°F. Traders aligned positions with verified measurements rather than prior model guidance, as resolution depends on official hourly readings rather than forecasts. Only a post-event station calibration or data revision could alter the outcome, though such changes remain rare for established urban networks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のニューヨークの最低気温は?
70~71°F 100.0%
華氏61度以下 <1%
62~63°F <1%
64~65°F <1%
$18,404 Vol.
$18,404 Vol.
華氏61度以下
<1%
62~63°F
<1%
64~65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70~71°F
100%
72~73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76~77°F
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80°F以上
<1%
70~71°F 100.0%
華氏61度以下 <1%
62~63°F <1%
64~65°F <1%
$18,404 Vol.
$18,404 Vol.
華氏61度以下
<1%
62~63°F
<1%
64~65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70~71°F
100%
72~73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76~77°F
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily minimum of 70–71°F on August 17, locking in market-implied odds at 100% for that bin. Recent National Weather Service data confirm stable overnight conditions under a warm, humid air mass with minimal radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 72°F. Traders aligned positions with verified measurements rather than prior model guidance, as resolution depends on official hourly readings rather than forecasts. Only a post-event station calibration or data revision could alter the outcome, though such changes remain rare for established urban networks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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