Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月9日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
16℃以下 85%
26℃以上 40%
21℃ 28%
22°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
16℃以下
85%
17℃
8%
18℃
8%
19℃
26%
20℃
26%
21℃
28%
22°C
27%
23℃
26%
24°C
8%
25℃
8%
26℃以上
40%
16℃以下 85%
26℃以上 40%
21℃ 28%
22°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
16℃以下
$72 Vol.
85%
17℃
$49 Vol.
8%
18℃
$49 Vol.
8%
19℃
$0 Vol.
26%
20℃
$0 Vol.
26%
21℃
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23℃
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$70 Vol.
8%
25℃
$52 Vol.
8%
26℃以上
$50 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$342終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$342終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models show Istanbul experiencing clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 9 with northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, yielding overnight lows near 19–21°C under stable high pressure. This consensus positions 19–21°C outcomes as leading probabilities by aligning with typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Elevated trader weighting on 16°C or below captures model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations, while warmer tails above 23°C remain discounted absent any incoming warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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